ss_blog_claim=88887e159c197230d43e202786904fb3 Common Sense in Politics: Hurricane Ike ( Is it a repeat of 1900?)

Monday, September 8, 2008

Hurricane Ike ( Is it a repeat of 1900?)

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With the news of Hurricane Ike in recent days I got a little worried after looking at a NOAA map of Ike's projected path. As I looked at this NOAA map it struck me as being almost a copy of the 1900 hurricane that hit Galveston. In this hurricane its taking an almost similar path with some variations. The 1900 Hurricane took an almost straight path to Galveston, but Hurricane Ike (after looking at the weather maps) has so far had a couple of course changes on its way to Cuba. Other than this minor course differance Hurricane Ike's path looks almost like a twin of the 1900 Hurricane. Therefore with these similarities I (as a layman) am going to predict that Ike will hit Galveston and its path past Cuba will be identical. I also think it will be a weak Cat.4 with 135 MPH winds and that after it hits Galveston it will take a similar or identical path north. It is unknown whether my prediction will be right, but judging from the path I believe that Ike has (in my opinion) a high probability of being a repeat of the 1900 Hurricane that hit Galveston. In the 1900 Hurricane that hit galveston it cost thousands of lives and (in today's money) billions of dollars. However if my prediction is correct I think that Hurricane Ike will possibly be far worse than Hurricane Katrina. Meaning that the possible death toll and damages could possibly far exceed the casualty and damage stats of Hurricane Katrina, and Ike could be the worst ever hurricane to hit the US. I just hope I'm wrong about these similarities and I hope Ike misses Galveston but I don't think ( judging by the TV weather maps) that Ike will miss.

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